Tanzania Election Drama: Opposition Sidelined as President Samia Suluhu Becomes Dominant Candidate

Tanzania is set to hold its general election on October 29, 2025, but the presidential race has taken a dramatic turn. Only President Samia Suluhu Hassan of the ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) remains as the main contender, after major opposition figures were disqualified or detained.

CHADEMA Barred from Election

The largest opposition party, Chama Cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (CHADEMA), was barred from participating after failing to sign a mandatory electoral code of conduct by the April 12 deadline.

 Its presidential candidate, Tundu Lissu, was arrested days before the deadline on charges of incitement and treason, neutralizing the party’s ability to contest the election. 

Observers say the disqualification reflects a broader pattern of institutional manipulation.

Opposition Figures Suppressed

Another opposition leader, Luhaga Mpina of ACT-Wazalendo, was barred from running after the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) ruled his nomination violated electoral procedures. 

Mpina’s legal challenge in the High Court of Tanzania was dismissed, leaving him unable to participate.

Suluhu’s Dominance

With CHADEMA and ACT-Wazalendo sidelined, President Samia Suluhu Hassan is widely expected to win the election. While INEC initially approved 17 presidential candidates, most represent minor parties with limited national reach. 

Suluhu, who assumed office in 2021 following the death of President John Magufuli, is running with Emmanuel Nchimbi as her running mate.

Concerns Over Democracy

Amnesty International reports intensified repression of opposition leaders, journalists, and civil society groups, with nearly 83 individuals disappearing under suspicious circumstances as of August 2024. 

CCM’s long-standing control over business, media, and the military, combined with opposition suppression, raises concerns about electoral fairness. 

Analysts describe Tanzania’s political system as electoral authoritarianism, where elections occur but outcomes are heavily predetermined.

Despite criticism, CCM retains strong popularity in many rural areas, where opposition parties struggle to campaign. 

With the opposition sidelined, the 2025 election is expected to result in a landslide victory for President Suluhu, though questions about the state of democracy remain.

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